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Kenya (1983: Doomsday)

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Kenya
Republic of Kenya
Timeline: 1983: Doomsday

OTL equivalent: Kenya
Flag of Kenya No coa
Flag Coat of Arms
1983DDKenya
Green represents Kenya; Light Green represents rebellious/breakaway territories

Motto
Harambee (Swahili, English)
(""Let us all pull together"")

Capital Nairobi
Largest city Nairobi
Other cities Mombosa, Nakuru
Language
  official
 
Swahili, English
  others Tribal Languages
Religion
  main
 
Christianity
  others Islam, Indigenous Beliefs
Ethnic Group Kikuyu, Luhya, Luo, Kalenjin, Kamba, Kisii, Meru
Demonym Kenyan
Government Semi-Presidential Republic
President
Prime Minister Raila Odinga
Area 580,367 km^2
Population approx. 37,000,000 people
Independence from the United Kingdom
  declared 12 December 1963
Currency Kenyan Shilling (KES)
Time Zone East African Time (UTC+3)

The Republic of Kenya is a country in East Africa. Kenya was the only East African country to remain largely intact in the years after Doomsday and is today one of Africa's more rapidly developing countries, though it continues to grapple with internal political instability and food insecurity.

History

Pre-Doomsday

Although Kenya is one of the longest inhabited places in the world, known signs of civilizations did not appear in the area until the beginning of the common era. During this time, cities and trading posts appeared along the Kenyan coast. These cities traded with the Greeks, Romans, Indians, Arabs, and Persians. In the interior, various tribes existed and traded with the coastal cities. After the rise of Islam in the 8th Century A.D., many of these city-states became frequented by Muslim Arab and Persians traders who spread Islam in the coastal regions and dominated regional trade. In the early sixteenth century, the Portuguese, looking to gain control of Indian Ocean trade routes, establish forts and gained control of the Kenyan coast. By 1730, the Sultanate of Oman seized control of these coastal forts and pushed deeper into the interior as it established a small empire in East Africa based out of Zanzibar.

In the nineteenth century, European interest in Kenya had begun to increase. The British, in competition with the Germans, began seizing territory that would become modern-day Kenya in 1887. They established the East African Protectorate in 1895 and began to administer the territory directly. During World War I, Kenya served a major military base for British operations in East Africa in their struggle against the resilient forces of German East Africa. After the war, the East Africa Protectorate, now known as the Kenyan Colony, experienced the rapid politicization of its population. World War II brought about another wave of politicization, which led to the rise of the Kenyan African Union, led by Jomo Kenyetta. Independence came slowly, though it was delayed further by the Mau Mau Rebellion, but finally in 1963, Kenya achieved its independence.

Kenya was led by President Jomo Kenyetta until his death in 1978. During his presidency, Kenya established its nationhood through a one party semi-democratic system. After his death, his vice president, Daniel Arap Moi, took over the presidency. Despite a failed military coup in 1982 by the Kenyan Air Force and snap elections in 1983, he continued to lead the country until Doomsday.

Doomsday

The devastation of Doomsday swept quickly across much of the developed world and their close allies. In the course of a few hours, governments had collapsed and millions were dead. Luckily, Kenya was non-aligned and was not directly affected by Doomsday. However, the news was a shock for much of the Kenyan population and started a wave of mass panic. The government rapidly increased the police presence on the street and deployed the Army to ensure stability. Government contingency plans to deal with such an event were immediately implemented to contain an outbreak of violence and maintain stability. A new day had dawned on Kenya and they faced an uncertain future.

Stabilization

In the immediate months after Doomsday, the Kenyan government remained determined to to maintain stability and move the country through this turbulent time. This soon proved to be a difficult task as they watched Tanzania, Somalia, and Uganda slowly dissolve into a collection of smaller states and a drought led to a minor famine. However, Kenya was in a better position than many of their neighbors thanks to their superior agriculture, historically stable government, and stronger economy. An increased police presence throughout the country and the loyalty of most of the major tribes, particularly the Kikuyu, Luo, and Kalenjin, to the government enabled Kenya to weather the initial storm, though increase amounts of military personnel were forced to deploy to the borders in order to prevent violence from spilling over from their increasingly chaotic neighbors.

Nonetheless, the Kenyan economy neared collapse with the evaporation of trade of its vital export products, coffee and tea, and a persistent drought. Massive government intervention to redirect agricultural production to more foodstuffs and the artificial manipulation of currency prevented a total economic collapse. Nonetheless, a minor famine continued for several years due to the lack of foreign food aid, which resulted in the death of thousands. The re-establishment of trade with other Indian Ocean states in late 1985 and early 1986 allowed some exports to resume, but brought about a temporary economic recession due to the artificial currency manipulation implemented earlier. After the end of the drought in 1986, Kenya's agricultural sector was able to return to normal production and the famine slowly dissipated.

Ethnic Tensions

The Somali Crisis

Kenya's North Eastern Province (NEP) is inhabited primarily by the Cushite minority, which is largely composed of Somalis. It was once the southern-most portion of Somalia, but it was ceded to Kenya by the British in the 1950s, despite a widespread desire to join the new Somali Republic. These sentiments have continued until after Doomsday and with the government's increased neglect of the NEP after Doomsday, tensions also increased.

The crisis began with an event now known as the Wagalla Massacre. On February 10, 1984 at the Wagalla Airstrip in the NEP, hundreds of Somalis from the Degodia clan were killed by Kenyan security forces under mysterious circumstances. While the government denied it had any official involvement, several important officials were believed to be involved. However, the Somalis in the NEP did not care either way as they saw it as a representation of the failures of the Kenyan government. In the weeks following the massacre as news of it spread, wide spread protests and sporadic violence erupted across the region. The protests and low-level violence would continue off and on for the next six years as the majority of the Somali population of the NEP rejected their Kenyan identity and sought to rejoin Somalia. The situation in the region was exacerbated by the 1985-1986 drought, which hit the NEP the hardest. The region also received the least attention from the government because of its smaller population in comparison to other famine-stricken areas.This low-intensity conflict caused a slow and continual drain on government resources that only exacerbated Kenya's problems.

In 1989, as the neighboring Republic of Somalia was slowly collapsing, a series of rebellions broke out across the areas the Somali Republic still controlled. These rebellions spread to the NEP where the local population, which had been acquiring arms for years, rose up in full rebellion. While the Kenyan government had withdrawn most of their resources from the rural areas of the NEP, the cities and towns were still largely under their control. Now many of these towns began to fall as the population rose up. The Kenyan military was quickly deployed to attempt to crush the uprising, but the influx of weapons and militants from Somalia turned the tide in favor of the rebels. By 1991, most of the central and northern regions of the North Eastern Provinces had escaped Kenyan control and were now ruled by various Somali clans. However, the Kenyan government still lays claim to the entirety of the NEP and regularly launches raids into clan-controlled territory.

Maasai Revolt

In 1990, Kenya was facing multiple crises. The Somali in the North Eastern Province were revolting and waves of refugees were fleeing from the Ugandan Civil War. These two events preoccupied most of the Kenyan government's time and energy. Realizing this, the upstart nation Maasailand, in neighboring Tanganyika, saw a potential opportunity. Their leadership began reaching out to the Maasai tribes in southern Kenya. These tribes had long had issues with the government and were experiencing increased hardship due to the drought, so it was fairly easy for Maasailand leaders to convince them to revolt. Armed with weapons and assisted by small bands of Maasailand soldiers, the Kenyan Maasai tribes began their own revolt in November 1990. The Maasai population in Kenya was fairly small, only about 400,000, but the Maasai continued to hold sway in the largely rural southern Rift Valley province. The Kenyan Army seized and fortified the towns of Kajiado, Makutano, and Ol Tukai to act as redoubts against the Maasai. The largely rural Maasai tribes were able to maintain control of much of the region though. Ultimately, the guerrilla war waged by the Maasai became overly draining on the Kenyan Army. Once the security of Nairobi was assured and the rebels were pushed further back, Kenya largely abandoned much of the region to the Maasai. Today, the area is government by a Kenyan military governate or by various Maasai tribes in conjunction with the Maasailand government.

Refugee Crisis

Beginning in the late 1980s, Kenya was forced to deal with continual waves of refugees from its neighbors. In the north, Somali refugees fueled the Somali insurgency, which ultimately resulted in the disintegration of Kenyan authority in the North Eastern Province. After the collapse of the unified Ugandan state in 1989, several waves of refugees entered western Kenya. While the Kenyan government was able to deal with many of the early waves of refugees, later groups faced significant tribal violence as regional tribes attempted to protect their lands and drive back the refugees. The Kenyan government became gravely concerned with the tribal violence and quickly increased their forces in the area. After several months of violence, the Kenyan Army was finally able to restore order, though tensions remained high.

Along the Tanganyikan border, Kenya was forced to place significant forces in order to manage the refugees and defend the border from any spillover of violence. The dissolution of Tanganyika greatly worried the Kenyan government and they did what they could in order to assist the Tanganyikan government, including joint monitoring of borders and small amounts of aid. Tanganyikan refugees were placed in a series of camps along the southern Kenyan border, though Maasai refugees were largely expelled after their revolt in 1993. The continual refugee crises exacerbated ethnic tensions in Kenya and would lead to political unrest later on.

Political Reforms

In the years after Doomsday, Kenya was able to remain relatively stable despite the chaos reigning in most of their neighbors. While most of Kenya's tribes remained largely loyal and greatly aided the Kenyan government in maintaining stability, droughts, refugees, and economic difficulties tested their loyalty repeated. On top of this, the growing authoritarianism of the Kenyan government angered much of the population. In 1988, the mlolongo (queuing) system was implemented, which abolished the secret ballot. In addition, multiparty politics were officially ended as KANU became the only legal political party. After years of internal disputes, the one-party constitutional provision was finally repealed in 1993. However, the new multiparty democracy brought new conflicts as KANU, led by President Moi, sought to link parties to ethnic tension and exploit that tension in order to remain in power. Fierce political disputes and minor violence broke out between Kalenjin, Maasai, and Kikuyu tribes. As new political reforms throughout the late 1990s enabled greater political participation, the violence continually increased. Small militias were attacking tribes in order to incite violence and Moi Administration used repression in order to ensure its victory. However, despite the occasional violence, Kenya remained fairly stable and the democratic process was able to continue. However, discontent continued to grow and agitation for future political change remained.

A New East Africa

During the 1990s, East African nations, primarily the Tanganyikan nations and Kenya, were slowly growing closer together. Kenya had cooperated closely with Tanganyika in an attempt to help maintain their stability, with limited success. Nonetheless, their relationship continued to grow. Kenya also established relations with the other Tanganyikan states after the Republic formally renounced their claim to them. It established strong trading relations with Unyamwezi and became the main military supplier to Kagera. Through these growing relations, Kenya was slowly convinced by Tanganyika to join their efforts to re-establish the East African Community. Thanks to Kenyan support, the other Tanganyikan states agreed to join and the East African Community was re-established on July 7, 2001.

End of Moi

By 2002, the conversation had changed from inter-tribal conflict to generational politics. After several parliamentary defeats, the KANU, and Moi with it, finally lost the 2007 election, which also led to the party's collapse. While the 2007 election was somewhat less violent and generally more open than previous elections, the country still had major political hurdles to overcome.

Government

Kenya is a presidential representative democratic republic, whereby the President is both the head of state and head of government, and of a multi-party system. Executive power is exercised by the government. Legislative power is vested in both the government and the National Assembly. The Judiciary is independent of the executive and the legislature.

Kenya has managed to maintain its democratic systems during the post-Doomsday chaos that affected the world. Initially, Kenya was a one-party state under the Kenyan African Union. Slowly, multi-party politics has reemerged in Kenyan thanks to numerous reforms during the 1990s. Today, the National Rainbow Coalition (NARC), a coalition of various political parties, rules the country. NARC has focused on strengthening Kenya's democracy, encouraging economic growth, and reasserting Kenyan authority in the North Eastern Province (NEP) and rebellious Maasai territory.

Economy

Kenya has one of the largest economy in East Africa. The modern Kenyan economy is based on a growing services sector and a large agricultural sector that continues to employ most of the population. Kenya also boasts a high level of industrialization for East Africa and provides a large amount of finished products to the region. Increased liberalization of markets in the late 1980s and foreign investment throughout the 1990s has enabled Kenya to become one of the most attractive destinations for foreign investment in the region, which has led to Kenya's high growth rates.

Agriculture

Agriculture is the second largest contributor to Kenya's GDP. The principal cash crops are tea, horticultural produce, and coffee; horticultural produce and tea are the main growth sectors and the two most valuable of all of Kenya's exports. The production of major food staples such as corn are subject to sharp weather-related fluctuations. Production downturns periodically necessitate food aid, though major government efforts to increase agricultural production has resulted in a constant decline in the need for food aid. Food productions remains a great struggle for the government though.

Energy

The largest share of Kenya's electricity supply comes from hydroelectric stations at dams along the upper Tana River, as well as the Turkwel Gorge Dam in the west. The state-owned Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen), established in 1997 under the name of Kenya Power Company, handles the generation of electricity, while the Kenya Power and Lighting Company (KPLC), which is slated for privatization, handles transmission and distribution. Unfortunately, Kenya has no native reserves of oil, coal, or natural gas, which forces it to import them. Their reliance on the importation of coal and oil has led to creation of a national nuclear infrastructure that will hopefully allow the inclusion of nuclear power by 2025. Significant investment has also gone into geothermal power production, which could make Kenya an energy exporter in the near future.

Industry

Although Kenya is one of the most industrially developed country in East Africa, manufacturing still accounts for only 14 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). Industrial activity, concentrated around the three largest urban centers, Nairobi, Mombasa, and Kisumu, is dominated by food-processing industries such as grain milling, beer production, and sugarcane crushing, and the fabrication of consumer goods, e.g., vehicles from kits. There is a vibrant and fast growing cement production industry.[citation needed] Kenya has an oil refinery that processes imported crude petroleum into petroleum products, mainly for the domestic market. In addition, a substantial and expanding informal sector engages in small-scale manufacturing of household goods, motor-vehicle parts, and farm implements.

Aerospace

Kenyan interest in aerospace has been growing since the 1986 seizure of the Broglio Space Centre, which was formally an offshore Italian launch pad. While Kenya does not possess the resources or technical expertise to develop its own space program, the Kenyan government has currently put the Broglio Space Centre up for lease, on the condition that it be used to launch Kenyan-owned satellites. It is hoped that the lease of the Centre will help spur further interest in space flight in East Africa. Another land-based launch site is being planned on the Kenyan coast north of Malindi, funded largely by investment from space-interested states. It is designed to take advantage of Kenya's ideal location for space launches. The new Malindi Space Centre will either be leased to the League of Nations or be placed under a joint condominium with other nations who wish to utilize the center. Potential partners are currently being sought across the Indian Ocean and Europe.

International Relations

Kenya is a non-aligned country that generally has positive or neutral relations with all nations beyond Africa. They continue to maintain warm relations with Pakistan, who has become a major foreign investor in the country. Kenya also maintains cordial relations with Iran and the GSU states, which are largely based on trade. In addition, Kenya maintains embassies throughout the SAC and ANZC, along with several in Europe and Central America. Kenya is also a member of the League of Nations.

Within Africa, Kenya has more diverse relations. However, Kenya has come into conflict with the Republic of Somalia, which supported, and continues to support, Somali rebels in the NEP. The two nations have been engaged in a proxy war as Kenya continually attempts to reassert its authority in the area with limited success. Kenya has excellent relations with Tanganyika and the other nations of the East African Community. Kenya has also continued its warm relations with Ethiopia, which they supported during their intervention in Somalia.

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