Alternate History

History of Brazil (1983: Doomsday)

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Brazil leaders, 1983-present
1983-1984 General João Batista Figueiredo
1985-1988 General Walter Pires de Carvalho
1988-1991 General Leonidas Pires Gonçalves
1992-2001 Fernando Henrique Cardoso
2002-2009 Luis Inacio Lula da Silva
2010-present Dilma Rouseff

The History of Brazil (Brasil) begins with the arrival of the first indigenous peoples, over 8,000 years ago by crossing the Bering land bridge into Alaska and then entering the rest of North and Central America.

It is widely accepted that the European first to discover Brazil was Portuguese Pedro Álvares Cabral on April 22, 1500. From the 16th to the 19th centuries, Brazil was a colony of Portugal. On September 7, 1822, the country declared its independence from Portugal and became a constitutional monarchy, the Empire of Brazil. A military coup in 1889 established a republican government. The country has been nominally a federal republic ever since, except for three periods of overt dictatorship.


Re-democratization was on the verge of happening when Doomsday occurred, on September 26th, 1983. No Brazilian cities were hit in the events of that day.

Due to the global war situation, the re-democratization process was halted. Paulo Salim Maluf, which was the military appointed candidate (even though being a civilian) for presidency was withdrawn from the candidacy, and General Joao Figueiredo, president of Brazil at the time, was succeeded by another military: General Walter Pires de Carvalho.

The halting of democratization, at the same time that many Brazilians mourned the deaths of the numerous Brazilians that lived in large US cities such as Boston and New York, led to massive rioting in Rio de Janeiro, Sao Paulo, Belo Horizonte and Porto Alegre. Since Brasilia (the capital) was a merely administrative city, with the majority of its population or being in the public service, or being on commerce (supporting the public service), there were few protests there, easily suffocated by the military.

Rebellion was suffocated on Rio, Sao Paulo and Belo Horizonte, with most of the rebellious leaders (including Lula da Silva, Franco Montoro - governor of Sao Paulo state but which supported the rebellion, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Ulysses Guimarães and others who were part of the "Diretas Já" movement which was forming prior to Doomsday) imprisoned or killed, but not without great loss of life, both rebel and military, not counting civilians caught on mid-fire.

In Porto Alegre the government didn't go so well, specially because local rebels were also supported by the local military. State of Rio Grande do Sul seceded from Brazil in 1986, forming the Republica dos Pampas (Porto Alegre as the Capital), with Pedro Simon nominated as president. The local military which were against the secession were offered an opportunity to join the Pampas military force, or return unharmed to Brazilian territory with their families and personal belongings. Very few opted to go back, with the vast majority of the Gaúchos army favorable to the re-democratization of Brazil and choosing to stay with Rio Grande do Sul (now República dos Pampas).

The growing separatist movements, along with the rioting (which continued on major cities, even though not so intense) and the halting (now completely) of the democratic process led to another Congress shutdown in 1987 and another state of siege declared. On October 5, 1988 (note: in OTL this was the date the 1988 Constitution was promulgated by the Constitutional Assembly), AI-18 (Institutional Act number 18) was outorgated by the president, restricting civil and political rights once again and being even more hard lined than the 1968 AI-5. Official curfew was declared on all capitals and major cities (in fact it was in all of Brazilian territory, however there was no personnel available to guard all of the Brazilian cities), with the restriction of public gathering on all of Brazilian territory, including demonstrations, religious celebrations, or even cultural (such as Carnaval) or sports events. These events (religious, cultural and sports) could be held, however with no local public, only being transmitted through TV, which rendered that kind of event inaccessible to large portions of the Brazilian population, due to EMP damage on satellites and installations, specially on the Northern and Northeastern regions . Universities (both public and private) were under strict monitoring from the government, with student organizations banned and deemed as illegal (once again).

A large section of State of Santa Catarina (including the Capital, Florianopolis) seceded from Brazil in 1989, joining the República dos Pampas. Since most of the military force was allocated on larger cities to enforce curfews and control rioting, there was little resistance from federal forces. Anyway, there was support to the República dos Pampas among the military stationed on Santa Catarina as well. However, at that time, Brazilian government hasn't recognized República dos Pampas sovereignty, occasionally attempting to regain that territory.

Former congressman Ulysses Guimaraes, who was arrested on the 1986 riots, dies in prison in 1989, of a heart attack. Although suspicious (since mr. Guimaraes was in good health conditions when arrested), the investigation of his death led to the assumption that his heart attack was related to his advanced age.

Successful secession of State of Santa Catarina along with the incampitibility of the central government to uphold the separatist states led to another breath of hope to anti-dictatorship protesters. Despite the siege state declared by AI-18, resistance began to gather in Sao Paulo in 1990, and even with a few arrests, continued to gain strength. The underground movement expanded its arms to Rio de Janeiro and some portions of Minas Gerais (including the capital Belo Horizonte) and movement members from the three states (which are the most industrialized of the entire Brazilian territory, and have most of the country resources, including oil and sugarcane crops - both essential for Brazilian fuel production) began talks with the Republica dos Pampas for a covert shipment of weapons and supplies. The Pampas government published a bill stating that when Brazilian democracy is effectively reinstated, there will be an referendum on the Republica dos Pampas to decide whether or not to rejoin Brazil.

In Christmas 1990, rebels in Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Belo Horizonte, in a coordinated and "surprisingly" surprise attack (Brazilian intelligence agencies were more concerned on detaining and torturing isolated students, teachers and mobsters than assessing real threats), took over the government of the State of Sao Paulo, State of Rio de Janeiro and State of Minas Gerais, entrenched themselves on the government facilities of those states with no loss of life, threatening to secede from Brazil unless general elections with free party association are immediately called, all political prisoners were immediately released, and AI-18 is lifted. The State of Parana, State of Espirito Santo and State of Bahia, along with the remainders of state of Santa Catarina on Brazilian territory, endorse the rebels declaration. Other states remain neutral, waiting to see what happens, or having problems of their own to deal with (specially some North and North Eastern states which had to deal with fallout consequences and starvation due to increased drought because of the war).

Facing the threat of deindustrialization and shortage on fuel supply, Brazilian military government (president now General Leonidas Pires Gonçalves) had no option than to open talks with the rebels. República dos Pampas sent representatives to the negotiation, rectifying the promise of a referendum if free elections were held on Brazil. The meeting took place on New Year's Eve, and was known as "Acordos do Ano Novo" (New Year Accords). The summit ended on January 10th, with the following guidelines established:

  • Immediate release of all political prisoners in Brazil, with full amnesty. Among the notable leaders released were Luis Inacio Lula da Silva and Fernando Henrique Cardoso.
  • Immediate lifting of AI-18, restoring all civil liberties.
  • Full free elections due to November 15th, 1991. The election for Congress would create an National Constitutional Assembly, in order to make a new Constitution for Brazil.
  • Reopening of the Congress and all Legislative branches
  • Transition government supervised by the former Senate (formed by the senators that were still alive, representing each State)
  • Recognition of República dos Pampas by Brazilian Government if reunification were to be rejected by its people on the referendum.

Republica dos Pampas, as a gesture of good faith, executed the referendum on April 21st, with a landslide victory for reunification, 89% willing to rejoin Brazil, 8% willing to remain independent and 3% abstention. This allowed not only the end of hostilities, but also allowed Gaúchos and Catarinenses (natives from Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina) to run for presidency and other political jobs.

Candidates for the 1991 elections were: Luis Inacio Lula da Silva (PT), Paulo Salim Maluf (PDS), Fernando Collor de Mello (PRN), Mário Covas (PSDB) and Olivio Dutra (PRPG), among others less noticeable. This was the first multilateral direct election since 1960, when Jânio Quadros was elected. Mário Covas died of cancer during the campaign and was replaced by the sociologist Fernando Henrique Cardoso, whom was also arrested during the AI-18. Results for the first term were: Lula 22%, Fernando Cardoso 21%, Paulo Maluf 12%, Fernando Collor 12%, Olivio Dutra 10%, others 20%, abstention 3%.

Second term elections were held on December 6th, with Fernando Cardoso as the winner, with 52%, Lula with 47% and 1% abstention. Fernando Cardoso took office on January 1st, 1992.

Brazilian economy wasn't collapsing, many of the American/European multinationals (specially on the automotive and machinery industries) already had branches in Brazil, and transferred their administrative operations to Brazilian soil. Ford and Volkswagen united to form AutoLatina, a joint-venture to mutually improve technology of their products, although the individual "DNA" of each brand would be untouched (including the brand names, which remained as Ford and Volkswagen). However, inflation was high, and a restructuring of the economy was needed, since there were bills of million cruzeiros or even billion being printed. There came Plano Pré-Real, in 1993, which locked out most of the savings accounts for six months, in order to re-index the economy to another form of wealth (since the US dollar was worthless due to the destruction of the US). Some protesters complained but most of the population was tired of fighting and saw that as an prospect of a long term improvement for all the population. After the six months period, came the Plano Real in 1994, which created the Real currency (one real = one million cruzeiros) and all savings accounts were converted to the new currency and released to the public.

With the increase in employment due to migration of the corporations to Brazilian soil, along with the reduction on the population (due to the aftermath of the nuclear war), the Brazilian economy began to thrive. The new 1992 constitution established new ground rules for Brazilian politics, including the complete banishment of politics-related prisons and the limiting of two terms for President, Governor and Prefect. The first elected candidate would have a term of six years, all later terms would be four years.

In 1997 elections, Fernando Cardoso was reelected on the first term, with 51% of the votes, Lula with 33%, the remainder with 10%, and 6% abstention.

Plano Real continued to improve Brazilian economy. Talks begin with other South American countries to form a Confederation of South America. Brazilian companies continued to go to other South American countries, which was called as "Imperialismo Brasileño" by some leaders. Fernando Henrique Cardoso had the longest term for a Brazilian free elected president on history (10 years).

In 2001 elections the former syndicalist leader Luis Inacio Lula da Silva is elected president with 60% of the votes, against 25% of the Fernando Cardoso supported candidate Geraldo Alkmin, 10% of others, and 5% abstention. Fernando Cardoso was probed for running to the government of Sao Paulo, but he was taxative on retiring from politics. Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, in tribute for Fernando Cardoso part on the restoration of Brazilian democracy and economy, offered him a position as Foreign Relations minister, which he declined.

In 2002, investigations confirmed that the heart attack suffered by former congressman Ulysses Guimaraes when in prison was not caused by old age, but in fact by torture. Many others whom were killed by the military regime, many missing, had their files revealed.

In 2003 an terrorist attack on a Petrobras refinery on Santa Cruz de La Sierra, Bolivia, killed 80 technicians (both Brazilian and Bolivian) and injured another 142, cutting half of the gas supply to Brazil. The attack was credited to "Unión Nacional Indigenista", led by Evo Morales. Morales denied the attack and claimed that UNI is a peaceful organization. The attack was, in fact, staged by the FARC in order to destabilize international relations in South America and prevent the formation of the Confederation, as further investigations established.

In 2004, the Confederation of South America is officially formed as a supranational organization, its first President being Nestor Kirchner, from Argentina. Plans are to lift all South American borders by 2008.

In 2005, Luis Inacio Lula da Silva is reelected for a second term, which began on January 1st, 2006. Discovery of crude oil in the "pre-salt" layer on the Atlantic Ocean leads to another hump up on the Brazilian economy.

On January 2009, during the presidential campaigns, Jose Serra, the candidate of the PSDB and Sao Paulo Governator, was assassinated by a mentally-ill man who claimed that Serra was going to re-install the military dictatorship. Due to this, Geraldo Alckmin was proclaimed as new candidate of the PSDB. The general elections were held on November 15th, and the PT candidate, Dilma Rousseff (former Lula's minister) result elect with 57% of the votes, against 35% of Alckhim, 7% of others and 1% abstention. Rousseff took office as the first women president of Brazil on January 1st, 2010.

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